Showing posts with label COVID-19. Show all posts
Showing posts with label COVID-19. Show all posts

Why Washington State Unemployment Has Been Screwed, 2020 June Edition

by Monday, June 29, 2020


The reason we are in this mess is partly because Inslee RESPONDED TO THE EMERGENCY BY IMMEDIATELY RELEASING EMERGENCY FUNDS to unemployed folks. He waived the waiting week so people could get their money faster. And the scammers saw this and preyed on that generosity (generosity is seen as a weakness by morally corrupt humans) and here we are.

The computer systems we have in place have only been in place since 2017. And guess what? They suck. I have been reading about them and it turns out the database queries are opaque and proprietary. So going in and fixing a lot of the issues that, say, a typical SQL database might experience is not so easily done. They have been running into issues where errors that were corrected re-introduced themselves when the database refreshed (anyone who had to go through ID verification twice know what I am talking about--that we computer issues, not human issues). The computer system is so broken it is off the charts, and it is not fixable on the fly, is a huge issue at hand.

All this on top of an insane number of legitimate unemployment applicants, and entirely new categories of unemployment applicants with taxonomical complications the system and the employees of ESD did not yet know how to deal with, and it's a perfect damn storm. This wasn't them not trying to deal with a crisis, this is a CRISIS ON TOP OF A CRISIS. Do I think it could be handled better? Yes, but primarily in the realm of communication and training of their staff in this regard.

Do you know how many claims were filed? Over 1 million. At its peak there were 1.6 million claims going through the system. For more complicated cases in adjudication, they require research to be done.

There are actually charts you can check out in their weekly updates if you want to see exactly how many claims they are processing at a given time, including how many they cleared each week. Keep in mind this is total number of claims by the department, and does not parse out just the adjudication; which, remember, does NOT just include people dealing with ID fraud. It can be Suzy Homemaker who underreported her earnings last year from a part time job, requiring they cross-reference her employment records with her reported hours and earnings. 

It can be Johhny Sludge, an rig worker who worked across several state lines and has a confusing set of employers from the previous year, requiring they pick apart some of his employment records to figure out if he should really be collecting unemployment in WA or if he should be collecting from one of the other states' companies he worked for, or both. 

Adjudicators are not just working on ID/Fraud cases, that just mucked up and ALREADY overrun department during a crisis where record numbers of workers went on unemployment, including entire classes of workers who were never eligible before (like gig workers and self-employed, which also took up a ton of adjudicators' time, by the way, in checking records!)

https://esd.wa.gov/newsroom/initial-unemployment-insurance-claims-for-week-of-june-14-20-2020

Also, there were only 200 adjudicators when this all began. They only increased the work force fairly recently. They were working 5 days a week when this began, and they upped their hours to working as much as 7 days a week to try and work this out.

I know we all like to think we know what is going on behind the scenes and fuck them and their failed system, but do you think they really are not doing everything they can to fix this? Do you think they want this all to fail, for everyone to be angry and suffering? The people working there are humans, like us. Workers, like us. This is terrible for them, too (and yes there are always going to be some little shit employees who don't give a damn, and I am SO SORRY for those of you who had to deal with them. I hope they get fired with prejudice, and I hope you get someone better next time!!)

And before I get accused of these things: no, I don't work for ESD. No I am not friends with anyone there, a relative of anyone there, paid to say any of this, blah blah blah. I am a small business owner, these thoughts are all my own, and based on research I have done entirely on my own here on this group, via articles written both by professional media and hobbyists in fields attached to various industries connected to the work involved.

For instance, I found articles and blogs dated back to 2014 and 2017, written about the last two times the Washington State Unemployment systems back end and websites were updated. I was curious what the complaints were then, what changed, who was reporting on it, and how those changes may be in play now. I like understanding things. That's why I have all this information: I like knowledge, and I hate all the blame-game bullshit I see all the time where people are just angry for the sake of being angry without thinking about the WHY. Understanding why helps me find empathy and balance in the world. So there ya go. Not and ESD shill.

COVID Conversations - Breaking Points

by Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Yesterday I had to go get my prescription at my grocery store. It was day two of a mandatory King County order to wear masks in retail spaces, and there was about a 75% compliance. No big deal, not everyone has gotten the memo and I get that. But as I walked about, I noted a particular couple who seemed both conspicuously unmasked and also completely ignoring social distancing and the one-way aisles. And scowling at everyone who was complying. I kept running into them coming the wrong way up the aisles. These aisles are easily readable signs and floor stickers--big red stop signs and big green arrows on the floor and hanging from the ceilings--so there is no excuse for ignoring these markers. These people were making intentional choices to completely ignore attempts to keep people at safe distances in public spaces.
Checking out with my few essential items, I saw them again. I saw her--what I describe to you as oldrednecksmokerlady--without a mask, up close and sticking her crotchety finger in a masked manager's face, barking about bad attitudes, then returned to her similarly oldrednecksmokerman husband in line. Just perfectly themselves, not giving a shit about anyone or anything but themselves, yelling about bad attitudes, while everyone else around them were starkly contrasting with silence and selfless mask wearing. Who exactly was rude? I don't know what precipitated it, but it didn't matter to me. I could imagine these people came in itching for a confrontation, and they made it happen.
I made a point to walk past the manager and said, "Hang in there, okay?"; and as she turned to "smile" and say "Have a good day," I realized that without the ability to actually smile, it was only her eyes that I could see--brimming a little with tears she was fighting back from the rude encounter. I tried to smile back with empathy, but realized she couldn't see mine either. I hurried out the door myself before my masked face and only-eyes-brimming-with-tears could be seen by anyone else.

Fun New Opportunities Thanks to Online Learning?

by Saturday, May 02, 2020


FUN NEW OPPORTUNITIES THANKS TO ONLINE LEARNING?

This online medium has introduced many, MANY challenges to those of us coming to it fresh; but it has also given us some fun new opportunities, and I thought it would be fun to share some of them.

At my studio some of them have been:

The third week of our beginner course we introduce finger cymbals. We have a two camera set up, where one is a full body camera from across the room, and the other is close up and more conversational. We mainly use the close up camera to chat at the beginning and end of class. Finger cymbal night I was able to use this close-in camera to show my entire class of students up close and personal how my finger cymbals look, fit on my hands, and play for them up close. It was a unique view of playing that we couldn't really get in an in-person experience. Not only that, but because they aren't in a room full of other students playing all at once, they are only hearing me and themselves playing at home. So their finger cymbal practice with me is going to be more effective during quarantine because it won't be hidden or drowned out by others.

Another cool thing: our full body camera was just changed from a dual-log-in on a phone to a web camera last week. Now it is possible to easily walk up and tilt it up and down if you want to to focus on different parts of the body. So when we had a particularly complex foot pattern, our instructor that night walked up and just tilted the camera down to point at her feet while she broke the move down in more detail, and then just tilted it back up when she was done. Again, this was a more detailed view than a room of students might have been able to see in person.

But my favorite opportunity was my guest TA. One of my former students and troupe-members moved across country about a year ago. We have missed her terribly, and though she has been trying to get a dance group going in her area, it has been very slow going. Then this all hit and it has thrown a wrench in the works. Now she has not only been able to come back to classes with us online, she has been joining troupe meetings, and this week she TA'd part of our beginner class from her living room. We just spotlighted her in Zoom for her part of the lesson, and it went great!

What unique and unexpected perks have you discovered since putting classes online? Even if you've been doing this a while, I'd love to hear some of the positives you've been experiencing!



COVID Conversations - SUPPLY CHAINS

by Friday, April 17, 2020
SUPPLY CHAINS
And why you should buy things you think you need now-ish (especially things from China)
Friends who have been following closely (it's okay if you haven't, I am not the funnest ball of sunshine lately) know I have been struggling to get some tech bunnies in line lately. Largely this is because everyone is trying to get tech bunnies in line right now and everything is sold out everywhere. But the mad rush is only part of the problem. The other problem is the supply chain is down, and worse yet...it's not going to get better any time soon.
On another thread on a friend's page, there was discussion of the food supply chain similarly in danger right now. A commenter flippantly said there was plenty of food on the shelves right now, and we have no reason to worry. Well, friends, I don't want to add to your stress, but I do want you to have a healthy sense of reality and preparation for the year(s) ahead. Because gently and methodically stocking your larders now would be a Very Smart Move. NOT HOARDING, NOT PANICKING; but just picking up an extra can or two when you shop each week, and stocking some dry beans/dry goods is literally always a good idea. Let's have a chat about why everything looks fine when supply chains are collapsing.



Like all wonderfully terrible things, it starts underneath (in the chain), and then it shows up at the surface (the markets).
Take things like...how about electronics--the very thing that is making me insane right now? Right now you could go out and buy a TV, right? Well, that TV wasn't made yesterday. It wasn't even shipped here yesterday. Those TVs on the shelf were shipped 6 months ago from a port in another country. They were made maybe even over a year ago in another country--let's say mostly China, in this case.
When those TVs run out on the shelves, the store fills from the back room.
The people at the store will order from a local warehouse, and the back room's backstock will fill up again, fine, good.
When the warehouse is empty, the warehouse orders from the distributer/shipper in China.
The distributer orders from the manufacturer in China.
So track it back to the source. If China is shut down, they aren't making any more and aren't shipping any more, that goes back in time, far before your shelves are ever empty. 6 months to a year.
A store shelf empties out, so the store fills from backstock. Backstock fills from a local warehouse. The warehouse ships all they have left, and now that warehouse is empty; but the store backstock is full, the store shelves are full, and you the consumer see a shelf full of TVs.
That local warehouse calls the distributor to fill up, but China is shut down--nothing is being manufactured or shipped. Now local warehouses are empty. You the consumer never see that. You just see full shelves and think everything is business-as-usual.
Next time the shelves empty, it gets filled from backstock.
The warehouse has none. Now the backstock and warehouse are both empty. You don't see that.
Next time the shelves are empty, there is nothing to fill it because long before you saw that happen, the chain had collapsed. Only now do you see the impact.
Same for every supply chain, from widgets to food. We haven't yet begun to see the impact of every supply chain around the world, because the impact will ripple out in time ahead of it. You are still seeing full shelves, but there are supply chains breaking down due to worker shortages and shutdowns, inability to source supplies and repair parts for machinery, and countless other little details we the consumer don't have to think about when we're filling our carts.
Being price-gouged on CraigsList for a webcam so I can Zoom my dance classes is just one small way I am experiencing what will be a months-long, or potentially years-long, drought in high quality electronics in the market (and the absolute flood of cheap off-brand garbage right now is alarming from an environmental standpoint, but I digress). What comes next could be potential continued scarcity and higher prices when things do return to market. Because we don't know what the world financial market is going to look like, nor how long this virus is going to be a real threat in our population.
How this will play out for clothing and food and other necessities I can't speak to (Tracy below reminds us that if you think your food all comes one state over, or even within the US--even if it says US on the label--think again, and do a little reading on the topic). For durable goods--particularly ones manufactured largely in countries hardest hit by COVID-19--my general thought has been that if you need it, and you are seeing it becoming harder to come by, get it now. It's likely only going to get more scarce and expensive for a while.
For foodstuffs, no hoarding, no freaking out; just think about what you would stock away in your larder for winter and start putting a little bit away every week. This isn't happening tomorrow, but it's something worth being prepared for.
That's my take. Any thoughts or sources to add to the discussion?

A Studio Dream, Dying?

by Wednesday, April 08, 2020
I have barely told anyone this, but here goes...

Here in Seattle, we are "COVID-19 Ground Zero" in the US. Due to social distancing--and later by the governor having been shut down as non-essential--my dance studio has been out of regular business for weeks now with no end in sight. But, we still have to pay rent and all utilities as expected. We fall through every crack imaginable for assistance--I don't employ anyone, so grants for small businesses employing X# of employees aren't available to me. Chris makes too much money for us to qualify for any artists/small business program assistance programs I have come across. The stock market is in the ditch, and with our other house project under way (and also completely frozen due to work stoppages), we have debt tied up in it, and don't have enough liquidity to prop up the business for any length of time and still pay our current living expenses (talk about the worst timing ever). Unemployment doesn't apply to me. Some of my renters are trying to pay in a little bit to help so the roof stays over their head to return to, but they are mostly out of work as well, so it doesn't even cover a tiny portion of the total lease/costs on the space. Looking at arts grants, and there is hot competition for very small amounts of funds; and since they given in small doses to spread as far as they can, most of them wouldn't even cover a portion of one month of our rent. I would have to win out on multiple grants every month to cover our losses. Impossible.

Our mayor did put into place a 30 day moratorium on both residential AND commercial evictions, but we haven't heard if it will be extended. Even if it were, it isn't debt forgiveness, so it means when this is all over we would need to come up with all the back-rent. My credit union is giving a small interest free loan to every member who applies, but it would cover a little less than a month of rent (not expenses), and then I am under that debt, too, with just more months ahead of me without a plan.

Hard fact for me: my lease term is up this July. I only just got started--my studio has been over a decade in the planning, but only 3 years in the fruition of it. It was going beautifully, and I was going to re-up for another 3 years, but now I have to wonder if my dream is about to die ignominiously in this pandemic.

I am mentally composing the mail to my landlord to see what options he may have for me, if any. He owns many properties and is a good landlord. I am sure he has a lot of renters in the same boat, and is fielding a lot of similar messages right now. I don't know what his financial position is and how much wiggle room he has. For instance, I know for a fact a chunk of his portfolio is closed restaurants, and the business I share the building with is a nail salon which has been closed for weeks, with a minimum of another month of closure ahead (and we all know more than that). ALL of us won't be able to pay our rents--where does that put us; where does that put him? He certainly won't want us all moving out en-masse and have to look for new renters, but the financial and legal conundrum it puts him in is no small potatoes, either. I am empathy for the position he is in, as well.

This all just sucks so much.

Holding On...

by Tuesday, March 24, 2020
Two more friends-of-friends passed away of COVID-19 this week. One in their 30’s, one in their 40’s. That brings the number of people within a couple degrees of me in my friends-circle who have passed to six that I know of.

My heart grieves for my community, and it’s still so early-on here in the US.

I wanna say this: be gentle with yourselves, okay? I am hearing a lot of friends who are feeling helpless and sad and emotional, and somehow feeling guilty or down on themselves for not being more resilient in the face of all this.

FORGIVE YOURSELF. IMMEDIATELY.

Stop expecting so much of yourself. Today.

This situation we’re in isn’t just not normal. This is completely off the charts, you guys. Like...there are very few people alive on this planet who have lived through anything like this, let alone something that is on a nearly *planet-wide scale*.

So yeah. I think it’s okay that you want to cry or crawl in a hole.
I feel you when you say that you don’t feel productive, that you want to binge watch shows and eat a lot of shitty food.
You are completely human that you want to take naps, and aren’t doing your best work or can’t focus very well.
I think it’s completely normal that you feel a little sick all the time and keep taking your temperature and wonder if you’re becoming a germaphobe/hypochondriac right now.
I relate to feeling angry or depressed or both when you keep deleting plans off your calendar, or had to cancel your vacation, or wanted to punch a wall when your work extended your return to work date from April 7th to “indefinitely”, because it meant “getting back to normal” was no longer a date on a calendar but a “who knows when?!”

You’re not okay and I’m not okay, and that’s okay.

We’re gonna have to make space for feeling shitty now. Now and for a while. We need to stop trying to slap a smile on our Instagrams, y’all. Not that I don’t want to see beautiful photos of your smiles, and spring flowers, and your puppies (please keep posting that!), but I want some realness, too, y’all.

Maybe that’s one good thing that’s gonna come out of all this immediately. The fake-ass social media world can finally come crashing down and you and me and everyone can stop working so damn hard to pretend everything is hunky dory all the time when it is abso-freaking-lutely NOT. Maybe we can have the good and the bad. Maybe we can have The Real.

I love you for your honesty right now, my friends. Those of you who are taking a moment to say “I’m not doing so hot.” You need to say it. We need to hear it. We ALL need to hold each other up. And not in a “Here, let me fix that for you,” kind of way. But a “Let’s hold space for each other” kind of way.

I’m holding all your hands right now while we all cry a little (or a lot, go ahead, here’s a tissue). Because that’s normal, and that’s healthy, and that’s nothing to be ashamed of, and that’s what we’re on this planet for. Each other.




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On this blog I share my personal posts about cooking and knitting, travel and other musings; while I will blog about dance-specific topics over on the Deep Roots Dance blog:
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